Posted by admin | Posted in Backpacks | Posted on 19-04-2009
Tags: backpack, camping, frame, hiking, internal
Hiking Internal
âMann Internationalââ International Stocks-(Dow Jones Hits 10,000)
Irrational exuberance has returned to the equity markets – that’s the view from Asian-based investment brokerage, “Mann Internationalâ€.
Sources close to the firm say that global equity values do not reflect the condition of the global economy and valuations are more indicative of the unprecedented levels of liquidity pumped into the financial system by the world’s central banks in an effort to re-inflate asset values virtually destroyed by the credit crisis.
“Mann International†believes that equities are advancing largely due to investors being swept along by the herd mentality. Analysts at the firm suggest that much of the recent gains are primarily the result of late arrivals in the form of retail investors because many institutional investors are selling into strength and that, eventually, selling pressure will overwhelm buying activity.
The DJIA surged after better-than-expected Q3 results from JP Morgan Chase which reported strong performance from its fixed income business. One of the “Mann International†sources suggested that investors needed to be mindful of the fact that the relaxation in the mark-to-market accounting rules gave banks a certain degree of poetic license with regard to the valuation of toxic assets that remain on their balance sheets.
The firm has issued a warning to its clients advising them to remain cautious of entering the markets at what could eventually be looked back upon as a high point.
“Mann Internationalâ€: The US Federal Reserve may intervene to prop up the dollar.
“Mann International†analysts are thought to believe that the time is fast approaching where the US Federal Reserve may step in to the currency markets to defend the value of the dollar.
The US currency has fallen consistently against those of its six most active trading partners as investor concerns mount that the US government is locked into its zero interest rate policy. The current declines in its value were exacerbated by the decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points thereby becoming the first of the major economies to begin reversing monetary stimulus.
“Mann International†analysts believe that this action shifted attention on to other developed economies and the outlook for interest rate levels in the months going forward.
The overwhelming consensus is that US unemployment and the precarious state of the economy reduce the likelihood of a rate hike in the world’s largest economy as it is feared such a move would stifle the already fragile recovery but “Mann International†sources suggest that the recent surge in US equity values and slowing rate of job losses may give the Fed a reason to begin modest monetary tightening to defend the dollar.
Although “Mann International†does not believe currency market intervention to be a strong likelihood, one of the sources pointed to the UK’s bid to defend the pound before its currency was ejected from the ERM (Exchange Rate Mechanism) in 1992 as an example of the perils of trying to manipulate the currency markets.
More likely, the sources suggest, is the ending of the Fed’s treasury buy-back scheme (quantitative easing) which could restore some modicum of faith in the world’s reserve currency.
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